Gergana Topalova vs Makenna Jones Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Topalova has shown stronger second serve points won at 42.18% compared to Jones’s 38.42%. Could this give Topalova an edge? Yes, it likely influences match outcomes.
• When comparing the return game, Jones has a slight advantage, winning 54.75% of opponent's second serve points versus Topalova's 54.68%. First serve return success is also higher for Jones at 36.26% over Topalova's 35.08%.
• Both players demonstrate similar abilities under pressure; Jones saved 51.52% of breakpoints, narrowly surpassing Topalova's 51.23%.
• Looking at overall match performance over the past year, Topalova holds a small advantage with a 52.83% win rate, compared to Jones's 52.38%.
• Clay surfaces favor both players, but Jones holds a slightly higher win percentage of 61% compared to Topalova's 58%.
• Both players have mostly competed in Challengers/ITF tournaments; Topalova shows a marginally better win rate of 52.38% over Jones's 51.35% at the same level.
• Considering opponent quality, Jones has faced more highly ranked opponents, averaging a rank of 355.19, while Topalova's opponents average 411.85.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Jones has been more successful, winning 73% compared to Topalova's 50% in similar scenarios.
• In breakpoint conversions, Topalova outperforms with a conversion rate of 47.54% against Jones’s 42.8%, indicating a potentially crucial advantage.

Editorial Prediction (May 7, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Jones and Topalova promises to be competitive. Our analysis shows that both players have distinct strengths, with Topalova having the edge in second serve points and breakpoint conversions, while Jones excels in return games and deciding set performances.

Jones fares slightly better on clay, and given its significance in the match, this might impact the outcome, especially considering both players enjoy their highest win percentage on this surface.

Under pressure, the players exhibit comparable abilities, making these moments potential turning points in the match. Overall player performance and tournament level experience are closely matched as well.

Though both contenders have strong cases for victory, the data slightly leans towards Topalova securing a win, thanks to her proficiency in converting breakpoints and the marginally higher winning record against similar competition in the past year.